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546,196 artículos
Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Skiba, Yuri N.
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
The nonlinear barotropic vorticity equation (BVE) describing the vortex dynamics of viscous incompressible and forced fluid on a rotating sphere is considered. The asymptotic behavior of solutions of nonstationary BVE as t → ∞ is studied. Particular forms of the external vorticity source are given that guarantee the existence of a bounded attractive set in the phase space of solutions. The asymptotic behavior of the BVE solutions is shown to depend on both the structure and the smoothness of external forcing. Three types of sufficient conditions for global asymptotic stability of smooth and weak BVE solutions are also given. Simple attractive sets of a viscous incompressible fluid on a sphere under quasi-periodic polynomial forcing are considered. Each attractive set represents a BVE quasi-periodic solution of the complex (2n + 1)-dimensional subspace Hn of homogeneous spherical polynomials of degree n. The Hausdorff dimension of its trajectory, being an open spiral densely wound around a 2n-dimensional torus in Hn, equals to 2n. As the generalized Grashof number G becomes small enough then the domain of attraction of such spiral solution is expanded from Hn to the entire BVE phase space. It is shown that for a given G, there exists an integer nG such that each spiral solution generated by a forcing of Hn with n ≥ nG is globally asymptotically stable. Thus we demonstrate the difference in the asymptotic behavior of solutions in the cases, then Grashof number G is fixed and bounded, but the forcing is stationary or non-stationary. Whereas the dimension of the fluid attractor under a stationary forcing is limited above by G, the dimension of the spiral attractive solution (equal to 2n) may become arbitrarily large as the degree n of the quasi-periodic polynomial forcing grows. Since the small-scale quasi-periodic functions, unlike the stationary ones, more adequately depict the forcing in the barotropic atmosphere, this result is of meteorological interest and shows that the dimension of attractive sets depends not only on the forcing amplitude, but also on its spatial and temporal structure. This example also shows that the search of a finite-dimensional global attractor in the barotropic atmosphere is not well justified.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
García Cueto, Rafael; Santillán Soto, Néstor; Haro Rincón, Zalia; Ojeda Benítez, Sara; Bojórquez Morales, Gonzalo
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
During the process of urbanization, different surface properties significantly alter the radiation balance. This paper attempts to quantify this balance over different surface types in an arid city of northwest Mexico over several days in August 2011. The albedo of each surface type, as well as local atmospheric properties such as the atmospheric clearness index (K0) and atmospheric emissivity (εatm), were estimated. The surfaces on which measurements were performed were asphalt, concrete, polystyrene painted with white elastomeric paint (PWEP), clay, and grass. It was found that, for a 24-h cycle of measurement, the highest average value of net radiation was for asphalt (146.1 Wm–2), and the lowest average value was for PWEP (33.6 Wm–2). Estimates of albedo values vary depending on the surface, whereas K0 and εatm are dependent on prevailing atmospheric conditions. From these measurements, preliminary statistical models of net radiation as a function of incoming solar radiation and net shortwave radiation were proposed. For each model, the coefficients of determination were higher than 0.97. We discuss the likely implications of the results found for the urban planning of the city.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Nath, Sankar
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
A neural network (NN) model is developed to predict the seasonal number of tropical cyclones (TCs) formed over the north Indian Ocean during the post-monsoon season (October, November, December). The frequency of TCs and the large scale climate variables derived from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset of resolution 2.5º • 2.5o have been analyzed for the period 1971-2013. Data for the years 1971-2002 have been used for the development of the model, which is tested with independent sample data for the years 2003-2013. Applying correlation analysis, five large-scale climate variables, namely geopotential height at 500 hPa, relative humidity at 500 hPa, sea level pressure, and zonal wind at 700 hPa and 200 hPa for the antecedent month September are selected as predictors. Based on some performance parameter statistics, the performance of the NN model is evaluated and the results are compared with the multiple linear regression (MLR) model. From the results it is inferred that the predicted tropical cyclone count by both models is very close to the actual counts for both periods. However, the NN model is found to be superior to the MLR model. This tropical cyclone prediction technique may be useful for operational prediction purposes.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Valdés Manzanilla, Arturo
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
This study presents an analysis of the summertime mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) that developed in northwestern Mexico during the strong ENSO events of 1997-1999. From the analysis of geostationary data, results indicate that the largest number of MCSs was associated with the 1997 El Niño event throughout a longer active period. During the La Niña event of 1999 fewer MCSs were observed, which had developed over a shorter active period. The occurrence of the MCSs is linked to the location of the ridge and the anti-cyclonic anomalies at 500 hPa and 200 hPa, respectively.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Boadh, Rahul; Satyanarayana, A.N.V.; Rama Krishna, T. V. B. P. S.; Madala, Srikanth
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
Mesoscale atmospheric circulations play an important role in the transport of air pollution and local air quality issues. The planetary boundary layer (PBL), the thermo-dynamical structure and the flow field play an important role in air pollution dispersion. Hence, the PBL parameters over Nagpur, India are simulated using the ARW v. 3.6.1 mesoscale model. High-resolution simulations are conducted with triple nested domains having a horizontal resolution of 27, 9 and 3 km, as well as 27 vertical levels by using the 1 . 1º NCEP Final Analysis meteorological fields for initial and boundary conditions. Eight fair-weather days in winter and summer (January and April 2009) with no significant synoptic activity were chosen for the study. Sensitivity experiments of the ARW model were conducted with two non-local (Yonsei University [YSU], and Asymmetric Convective Model v. 2 [ACM2]) and three local turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) closure (Mellor-Yamada Nakanishi and Niino Level 2.5 PBL [MYNN2], Mellor-Yamada-Janjic [MYJ], and quasi-normal scale elimination [QNSE]) turbulence diffusion parameterizations, to study the evolution of PBL parameters and the thermodynamical structure during the study period. After validation of the simulated parameters with the available in-situ data, it was revealed that the non-local PBL scheme YSU, followed by local scheme MYNN2, could able to capture the characteristic variations of surface meteorological variables and the thermodynamical structure of the atmosphere. The present results suggest that the PBL schemes, namely YSU and MYNN2, performed better in representing the boundary-layer parameters and are useful for air pollution dispersion studies.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Mohd Kusin, Faradiella
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
The emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in an oil palm plantation associated with land use change have been evaluated on a site-specific basis. Nitrous oxide (N₂O) emissions from the application of nitrogen fertilizers during the growth stages of the palm oil were analyzed for palms of different ages within the plantation. The N₂O release ranges between 19.11-22.17 kg of N2O-N/ha, resulting in the emission of 1052.26-1209.51 kg of CO2-eq/ha. However, there is no clear relationship between the emissions of N2O or CO2-eq and the age of the oil palms. On the other hand, the impact from land use change for the development of the site was also evaluated by assessing the emissions from carbon stock changes within the plantation. The transformation of a rubber estate into an oil palm plantation loses the soil carbon content (i.e., release of carbon emissions). However, this phenomenon has been anticipated in literature. Overall, fertilizer-related emissions and fuel emissions during the growth stages contribute to about 79 and 21%, respectively, of the total GHG emissions from the plantation. Therefore, it is likely that the application of nitrogen fertilizer may increase the existing carbon emission from the conversion of rubber to oil palm plantation, but the values are within the estimated for a Malaysian oil palm plantation.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Priego-Hernández, Gastón Alejandro; Rivera-Trejo, Fabian
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
Atmósfera 29(1), 23-34 (2016)Fluid dynamics has the purpose of understanding the movement of liquids and gases by functions that describe the distribution of velocities. Some natural phenomena that present these functions are hurricanes, generated by pressure differences; cyclones, developed by the horizontal temperature gradient; and eddies, associated with a hydrostatic pressure gradient. In the particular case of eddies, they generate the so-called secondary velocities, which are flows formed by the presence of unequal forces between a hydrostatic pressure gradient and centrifugal forces, or by shear stresses at the joining of two flows. In addition, this phenomenon is observed in tornados, where the centrifugal force is greater in the upper layer and decreases towards the bottom, whereas the pressure gradient moves from a high to a low pressure; while in rivers it is detected particularly in bends or joins. Understanding the development of secondary currents is important for the reason that flow behavior is a function of the magnitude of these currents; hence their characterization is fundamental. The objective of this study was to obtain the secondaryvelocities developed as an effect of the union of two water currents, based on data acquired from Doppler acoustic recorders. A second objective was to draw the secondary velocities and to show the rotation flow effect, a kind of results that are difficult to obtain in any other way. The flow mechanisms are related with erosion and sedimentation processes; therefore, understanding them might help to evaluate and predict morphological changes in rivers.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Desouza, Nirmala D.
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
Dust emission is a main source of aerosol in the atmosphere and is highly sensitive to wind velocity. Surface feature characteristics, soil properties and meteorological parameters also influence dust emission. Thus far, no study has referred to dust flux over the Indian subcontinent; therefore, we estimated dust flux using empirical equations and land cover data for seven locations in the northwest and the Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP) having different soil types. Our study indicates differences in dust flux among locations. In the northwest, dust emission was initiated at a friction velocity of 0.23 to 0.27 m s–1 and dust flux was lesser than the IGP. In the IGP, dust emission was initiated at a friction velocity ranging from 0.22 to 0. 35 m s–1. Dust flux ranged from 0.073 to 0.084 kg m–1 s–1 at a given friction velocity (0.6 m s–1). It was observed that at low friction velocity, dust flux was low at locations with high clay content (> 20%) and sandy soils, compared to sandy loam and silt loam soil types. A reverse trend was observed at a higher friction velocity. Our study clearly indicates the effect of soil texture in dust emission.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Pérez-García, Ismael
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
The purpose of this paper is to represent the exact solutions of the barotropic vorticity equations (BVE) on the rotating unit sphere S2 as a manifold, which are zonal flows, Rossby-Haurwitz waves and generalized solutions named modons. Modern methods of the function theory are connected to the sphere defined as a compact differentiable manifold. When the differentiable manifold S2 is well understood, the abstract notion of local chart, change of chart, and atlases becomes evident. One of the aims of this paper is to better understand the solution of the barotropic vorticity equation on the manifold S2 and its usefulness to identify the properties of the solutions on the Riemannian manifold (S2, g). Therefore, a more general type of space will be available, which can also contain substantial geometric and analytic information about solutions for the barotropic vorticity equation.
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Año:
2015
ISSN:
2395-8812, 0187-6236
Gay García, Carlos
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Resumen
None
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